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Article by Dr. Christian Jasperneite
Flexible exchange rates, particularly in the context of the EUR/USD exchange rate, are a constant challenge for investors and companies. Static hedging, such as forward exchange transactions, is often used to hedge against exchange rate risks. However, dynamic hedging could be a more cost-efficient alternative, as it only becomes active when opportunities arise.
M.M.Warburg & CO has developed an overlay model that has been forecasting the EUR/USD exchange rate for eleven years. How has this model performed in retrospect? Quite well, in our opinion - more on this in the current issue of "Economic Situation and Strategy".