We adjust investment horizons

In a shifting capital market, acting is decisive

Recent global developments have shown that a new world order is emerging. Shifts in political power, trade conflicts, the use of raw materials as leverage, doubts about the U.S. dollar as a reserve currency, AI, and quantum computing: these and other forces are impacting the capital markets and changing the rules of investing as we know them.

This seems daunting but presents an opportunity, as when horizons shift, we create a solution: Horizon Shift — the tool that enables portfolios to profit from geo-economic shifts.

Dr. Christian Jasperneite
Chief Investment Officer
Hamburg
Portrait Dr. Christian Jasperneite
Horizon Shift offers a completely new perspective on portfolio management.
Dr. Christian Jasperneite, Chief Investment Officer

Strengthening stock portfolios against geopolitical shocks

Geopolitical fragmentation:

That’s the current buzzword in capital markets. After all, what should we do when supply chains, energy prices, or changes in government affect portfolio performance? Our answer: stock portfolios must be structured to be more resilient.

Thinking Ahead:

The experts of our Portfolio Solutions team have designed an innovative and interactive tool that makes it possible to quantify the complex assessment of qualitative topics. Horizon Shift not only manages complex stock portfolios based on traditional metrics but also integrates other major structural forces. Developments in areas such as geoeconomics, deglobalization, currency, and technological progress can thus be adjusted via sliders to reflect their relative importance based on the client’s preferences. In workshops, we are also glad to work with clients to determine appropriate weights for different thematic areas.

Seizing Opportunities:

Horizon Shift broadens the investment horizon. Portfolios are no longer evaluated solely based on key metrics but also on factors that will shape the markets of tomorrow. Therefore, the threat posed by geopolitical changes is transformed into real opportunities for returns.

Horizon Shift

Addressing changes in capital markets with innovative solutions

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Developed for sophisticated, complex stock portfolios
Integrates the three major global transformational forces: geoeconomics, de-dollarization, and technological progress
Allows additional modifications through individual factors and preferences
No other bank offers a comparable strategic approach with this depth

Our seven investment hypotheses through 2035

01

Global production and global sales are no longer, in and of themselves, decisive single factors for success.

02

Globalization remains but will undergo realignment and focus on diversified supply chains, including those for critical raw materials and energy.

03

Heavy reliance on China (sales, production, and intermediate goods) will become a negative factor in company valuation.

04

Technological autonomy and valuable patents will play an increasingly important role in company valuation.

05

The U.S. dollar will gradually lose its role as the sole global reserve currency and continue to lose value, leading to capital outflows from U.S. assets.

06

AI, quantum computers, space technology, and fusion reactors have the potential to cause massive disruptions in the economy.

07

Over the long term, defense will play a significantly greater role than in the past 35 years.

Your contacts in the Portfolio Solutions Team

Dr. Rebekka Haller
Portfolio Solutions
Hamburg
Dr. Ralf Budinsky
Portfolio Solutions
Hamburg
Jan Mooren
Portfolio Solutions
Hamburg

We look forward to meeting you!